Who’s Biggest? The 100 Most Significant Figures in History

A data-driven ranking. Plus, have former TIME People of the Year been predictive?

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Who’s bigger: Washington or Lincoln? Hitler or Napoleon? Charles Dickens or Jane Austen? That depends on how you look at it.

When we set out to rank the significance of historical figures, we decided to not approach the project the way historians might, through a principled assessment of their individual achievements. Instead, we evaluated each person by aggregating millions of traces of opinions into a computational data-centric analysis. We ranked historical figures just as Google ranks web pages, by integrating a diverse set of measurements about their reputation into a single consensus value.

Significance is related to fame but measures something different. Forgotten U.S. President Chester A. Arthur (who we rank as the 499th most significant person in history) is more historically significant than young pop singer Justin Bieber (currently ranked 8633), even though he may have a less devoted following and lower contemporary name recognition. Historically significant figures leave statistical evidence of their presence behind, if one knows where to look for it, and we used several data sources to fuel our ranking algorithms, including Wikipedia, scanned books and Google n-grams.

To fairly compare contemporary figures like Britney Spears against the ancient Greek philosopher Aristotle, we adjusted for the fact that today’s stars will fade from living memory over the next several generations. Intuitively it is clear that Britney Spears’ mindshare will decline substantially over the next 100 years, as people who grew up hearing her are replaced by new generations. But Aristotle’s reputation will be much more stable because this transition occurred long ago. The reputation he has now is presumably destined to endure. By analyzing traces left in millions of scanned books, we can measure just how fast this decay occurs, and correct for it.

We don’t expect you will agree with everyone chosen for the top 100, or exactly where they are placed. But we trust you will agree that most selections are reasonable: a quarter of them are philosophers or major religious figures, plus eight scientists/inventors, thirteen giants in literature and music, and three of the greatest artists of all time. We have validated our results by comparing them against several standards: published rankings by historians, public polls, even in predicting the prices of autographs, paintings, and baseball cards. Since we analyzed the English Wikipedia, we admittedly measured the interests and judgments of primarily the Western, English-speaking community. Our algorithms also don’t include many women at the very top: Queen Elizabeth I (1533-1603) [at number 13] is the top ranked woman in history according to our analysis. This is at least partially due to women being underrepresented in Wikipedia.

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Each year since 1927, TIME Magazine has selected an official Person of the Year, recognizing an individual who “has done the most to influence the events of the year.” Our rankings provide a way to see how well these selections have stood up over time. Adolf Hitler [7] proves to be the most significant Person of the Year ever. Albert Einstein [19] was the most significant modern individual never selected for the annual honor, though TIME did name him Person of the Century in 1999. Elvis Presley [69] is the highest ranked figure that has been completely dissed: no author or artist has ever so been honored.

The least significant Person of the Year proves to be Harlow Curtice [224326], the president of General Motors for five years during the 1950s who increased capital spending in a time of recession, which helped spur a recovery of the American economy. Other obscure selections include Hugh Samuel “Iron Pants” Johnson [32927], who Franklin Roosevelt appointed to head the depression-era National Recovery Administration, and fired less than a year later. John Sirica [47053] was the District Court Judge who ordered President Nixon to turn over tape recordings in the Watergate Scandal. David Ho [66267] is credited with developing the combination therapy that provided the first effective treatment for AIDS. His contributions to human health arguably deserve a better significance rank than our algorithms gave him here.

The 100 Most Significant Figures in History

1 Jesus

2 Napoleon

3 Muhammad

4 William Shakespeare

5 Abraham Lincoln

6 George Washington

7 Adolf Hitler

8 Aristotle

9 Alexander the Great

10 Thomas Jefferson

11 Henry VIII of England

12 Charles Darwin

13 Elizabeth I of England

14 Karl Marx

15 Julius Caesar

16 Queen Victoria

17 Martin Luther

18 Joseph Stalin

19 Albert Einstein

20 Christopher Columbus

21 Isaac Newton

22 Charlemagne

23 Theodore Roosevelt

24 Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart

25 Plato

26 Louis XIV of France

27 Ludwig van Beethoven

28 Ulysses S. Grant

29 Leonardo da Vinci

30 Augustus

31 Carl Linnaeus

32 Ronald Reagan

33 Charles Dickens

34 Paul the Apostle

35 Benjamin Franklin

36 George W. Bush

37 Winston Churchill

38 Genghis Khan

39 Charles I of England

40 Thomas Edison

41 James I of England

42 Friedrich Nietzsche

43 Franklin D. Roosevelt

44 Sigmund Freud

45 Alexander Hamilton

46 Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi

47 Woodrow Wilson

48 Johann Sebastian Bach

49 Galileo Galilei

50 Oliver Cromwell

51 James Madison

52 Gautama Buddha

53 Mark Twain

54 Edgar Allan Poe

55 Joseph Smith, Jr.

56 Adam Smith

57 David, King of Israel

58 George III of the United Kingdom

59 Immanuel Kant

60 James Cook

61 John Adams

62 Richard Wagner

63 Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky

64 Voltaire

65 Saint Peter

66 Andrew Jackson

67 Constantine the Great

68 Socrates

69 Elvis Presley

70 William the Conqueror

71 John F. Kennedy

72 Augustine of Hippo

73 Vincent van Gogh

74 Nicolaus Copernicus

75 Vladimir Lenin

76 Robert E. Lee

77 Oscar Wilde

78 Charles II of England

79 Cicero

80 Jean-Jacques Rousseau

81 Francis Bacon

82 Richard Nixon

83 Louis XVI of France

84 Charles V, Holy Roman Emperor

85 King Arthur

86 Michelangelo

87 Philip II of Spain

88 Johann Wolfgang von Goethe

89 Ali, founder of Sufism

90 Thomas Aquinas

91 Pope John Paul II

92 René Descartes

93 Nikola Tesla

94 Harry S. Truman

95 Joan of Arc

96 Dante Alighieri

97 Otto von Bismarck

98 Grover Cleveland

99 John Calvin

100 John Locke

Steven Skiena and Charles B. Ward are the authors of Who’s Bigger? Where Historical Figures Really Rank, Cambridge University Press, 2013. The views expressed are solely their own. 

535 comments
LouieRazon
LouieRazon

"Since we analyzed the English Wikipedia, we admittedly measured the interests and judgments of primarily the Western, English-speaking community. "


Should have been reflected in the title, no?

SheldonDeanPoisson
SheldonDeanPoisson

Maybe the people that have no evidence to support they actually existed should have been left for a myth list.

Abanoub
Abanoub

u really think that 

5 Abraham Lincoln 

6 George Washington 

had more impact on history than 

56 Adam Smith 

14 Karl Marx

Jason36
Jason36

True list
1. Prophet Muhammad
2. BUDDHA
3. Jesus Christ (No proof of existence)

Michael-G
Michael-G

The methodology behind this list is rubbish though, and the list reflects how poor it was using this silly "data" they felt justifies these rankings. C'mon, there's 15 American Presidents on here??? Give me a break. Change the title from what it is now to "Most read about, and edited figures on English Wikipedia". That title would reflect this list more accurately. As it is now is just misleading nonsense. And posters have every right to react angrily to this.

Yeah, okay, put Ulysess S Grant and Grover Cleveland on here, but leave off Euclid? Absolute rubbish.

ryanhellyer
ryanhellyer

There are a lot of idiots here in the comments, who don't seem to have read the post and realise this is an algorithm generated list.

MootiiDheressaHundara
MootiiDheressaHundara

For Christians, how ever, LORD JESUS CHRIST is more than a person in history :HE is alive and GOD incarnate :GOD who came in flesh and became man to save human kind from sin and hell. All of these figures influenced the world for good or bad. It is only Lord JESUS CHRIST who brought messages of love, peace, truth, HEAVEN and hell, kingdom of God. All of these figures except Lord JESUS CHRIST had died, Buddha had died, prophet Muhammed had died. Lord JESUS CHRIST raised from the dead and alive today and forever

Notosegoro
Notosegoro

The 100: A Ranking of the Most Influential Persons in History is a 1978 book by Michael H. Hart... read this and the reasons are objective and make sense..

JoshuaKarnitz
JoshuaKarnitz

I see people complaining about Jesus and Muhammad on here. But they're missing the big question: WHY THE HECK IS GROVER CLEVELAND IN THE TOP 100???

Yelaiah
Yelaiah

@JoshuaKarnitz Maybe because he kicked the labor unions asses in the 1800's? Who knows...

DiegoMarcori
DiegoMarcori

Tesla only after 90? The one that invented the alternating current that is powering all houses in the world?

And where is Meucci, the inventor of the phone (stop, dont say Bell, because in 2002 the American Congress recognized Meucci as the sole inventor of the phone)

Or Marconi, the inventor of the radio?

Guys, you need to widen your horizon....

adeelzaidi1997
adeelzaidi1997

From the statics of present world it is clear that..


1st: hazrat eisa (god be pleased with him)   (Jesus christ)


2nd: hazrat mohammad SAWW  (Muhammad)


3rd: mahatma gautam budh


4th: krishna ( followed by indians )


5th: hazrat musa (god be pleased with him) ( mosses )


Rest all the people after these personalities.

Someguy17
Someguy17

Archimedes?  Founder of Pi, buoyancy, levers, and the Archimedes Screw.  Recent deciphering of his Palimpsest also show that he had started tinkering with basic calculus, which would not be officially founded for another 1800 years.


Way too many Americans on here.  America is so young and its legacy is still mostly unknown.  Not only that, but some of the Americans on here are debatable even in their influence on American history.  America's power has lied in economy, so people like Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Henry Ford, Rockefeller, etc are far more reaching than say GWB or Grant who were both patsies and had incredibly inept and corrupt administrations.

Michael-G
Michael-G

Not sure about placing such a crucial and influential figure as Constantine The Great or a towering figure of the Renaissance such as Michelangelo below someone such as a George W Bush. Of course all these things are subjective.....but c'mon, I don't even see Ramesses II on this list.

It'sjustlist
It'sjustlist

funny thing is this is this was made by another indivisual with their own perspective on things.

Why don't you keep the aggressive comments to yourself and respect others opinion?

What feels right to them doesn't feel right to u and vies versa.

You guys, well some of you are just pushing your own perspective on others.

That makes you guys no different. To religious extremist.

Just keep your comments to your selves and make your own list.

GregKieliszewski
GregKieliszewski

Alexander Hamilton?  Richard Nixon?  George W. Bush?  Ronald Reagan?  Grover Cleveland?  Oscar Wilde?  John F. Kennedy? George III?  Robert E. Lee?  Andrew Jackson?  Ulysses S. Grant?  These guys really have had little impact on history?  Can anyone tell me what exactly Grover Cleveland did that was so ground breaking?  This list isn't even bad--it is pathetic.  Since the beginning of time there are only 35 people more important in history than George W. Bush?  These guys did not invent anything, did not come up with any notable philosophies, create any lasting work of art, or do anything that really changed the world.  This is horrible even for Time magazine.  These guys shouldn't even be in the top 1000. 

Zach_X
Zach_X

Where's Ashurbanipal, king of the Neo-Assyrian empire?

M_khalf
M_khalf

WTF is this !!!  Really!! 


32 Ronald Reagan >>>> mmmm interesting 


37 Winston Churchill >>> the war criminal who bombed civilians in WWII


57 David, King of Israel >>>> there is no scientific proof that this guy is ever exist 


69 Elvis Presley >>>> you got to be kidding  



89 Ali, founder of Sufism is this for real 


is what so called "sufism" in islam founded by Ali bin abi Taleb the cousin of Muhammed ??? what is the source ?? btw Ali bin Abe taleb biography is a series of failures :DDDD 


@M_khalf 

OscarBarandas
OscarBarandas

With Martin Luther do they mean the Martin Luther King JR or the historical figure leading Lutherism

eastgateshut1
eastgateshut1

@OscarBarandas im most certain that they mean the reformer.      martin luther king shook america  while martin luther  the reformer shook the world.and started a movement that revolutionized what we call religion.

ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET
ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET

why is jesus # 1. He shouldn't mohammad should be. Jesus should be # 3. The thing is without mohammad we would be hundred of years or thousands of years behind because he was the only one able to unite the world at that time. Jesus couldn't no other person could. Yes maybe someone can bring their country but not asia africa and europe together. We the muslims were able to do what no other religion was able to do, bring the people together. Everyone will disagree with me i know that i said this and they will say that jesus is better, but truth be told he isn't, he's great but not better. we were able to make medical advancements that if we didn't have we would be so far behind. We were the first to use hospitals, we made the basis for the plane, the plane would have been invented way before the wright brother but the muslim scholar died. We made algebra, and the basis for the phone and camera. Yes we didn't invent it but without us we would be so far behind. i know most people would disagree, people from America, because of 9/11 only because you think mohammad wants hate. but he has never made a sin in his life or ask someonw to make a sin unless its in self defense. this is an american list thats why its so racist. wheres nelson Mandela, MLKJ, and many others. I dont blame for only 3 girls, dont get me wrong, they just didnt have much oppertunity back then. I want to see you guys redo this list and make mohammad 1 and put more woman, if you can, more unamerican people who are not white, meaning black or colored people, and take off anyone or just change someone that anyone commets about because this list is wrong, more people should be on this and more should't.

eastgateshut1
eastgateshut1

@ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET your brainwashed.   muhammad your infalible prophet was a sick pedophile who also raped his slaves.  i dont hate muslims but i sure hate islam. you guys are evil and you want everybody who doesnt believe like you to die.    ive read your curan and its full of hate. im disgusted by your beliefs.

Meroooooo
Meroooooo

@eastgateshut1 @ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET First, Muhammed PBUH was a very peaceful man who treated all people equally even his slaves. A true story: Muhammed PBUH had a Jewish neighbor who used to throw trash in front of the prophets door every single morning, one morning the prophet didn't find the trash placed on this doorstep, so he went to check on the man. The moral is that if he didn't have a kind and big heart he wouldn't have went to the Jewish man who treated him badly. Second, the Quran is based on TASAMOH, love and caring, between people. Third, not all Muslims follow the right path of Muhammed PBUH neither do all jews or christians. Therefore, don't judge a religion based on it's bad followers.

JayBird26
JayBird26

Have somebody explain it to you. The Quran that is. Maybe you didn't quite understand it.

Jason36
Jason36

@ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET I agree that BUDDHA should be at number 2. and Jesus at #3 and Muhammad at #1. there is no proof of existence of Jesus Christ. while Buddha and muhammad really existed. and another thing the indians made algebra not muslims.

JoseGNava
JoseGNava

What a joke the great liberator of south america Simon Bolivar is not here..

StephenWilliams3
StephenWilliams3

Funny list,Where is MArtin Luther King,MAo Ze tung( He is greatest),Muhamad Ali,Al CApone,John Edgar Hoover, Louis PAster,Mendela,JAmes WAtt,Conrad Adenauer and more people who are indebted humanity

VirajRijal
VirajRijal

Why the hell is Jesus on this list. The guy never lived, never existed. 

KDJ92
KDJ92

@VirajRijal Historical consensus is that he did exist. Few historians would refute his existence. The books of the New Testament are historical documents written by different individuals, plus he is mentioned in Josephus and Tacitus.

HartleyMarks
HartleyMarks

@VirajRijal i tell wat if was not 4 that man 2 lay down is life 4 me and u , u wouldnt had the opportunity to write that statement and wouldnt b hear 2 day 2 read it . our life is not in accordance with god so if not 4 him makin intersession 4 us surely god would wipe me and u out of this planet so b graceful 4 his present surely u will reach him 1 day 

DavidBrown6
DavidBrown6

Where is Walter White? Or Jesse Pinkman?

KyleWinfrey
KyleWinfrey

No Hippocrate, Cleopatra, Confucius, Nelson Mandela, Martin Luther King, Louis Pasteur ......and they put a lot of americans on it

ArsalanZamanKhan
ArsalanZamanKhan

Shame shame. Deep deep shame on this list and today's Time magazine. Without Henry Ford, cars would be made available to the average citizen of the world long after his death. The same is the case with Edison and electricity, JD Rockefeller and the use of oil, Carnegie and the advancement of railway travel. Oil of these men have been on Time's covers decades before but today they have not been mentioned. Shame.

john2190
john2190

The comments on this list are hilarious....

Muslims typically in their delusional state complaining why Muhammad isn't at the top of this list (even though his influence/significance is nowhere the level of Jesus). 

Women, using their illogical brains bitching how there are only 3 women on this list (even though women didn't have the opportunity to be influential/significant due to lack of education etc.). 

Idiots who think Zeus and Thor should be included even though they're fictional (might as well put in Bigfoot and Santa in there in that case). 

I, for one think this list is pretty accurate.  Those are some hugely influential figures throughout the ages and centuries. 

ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET
ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET

@john2190 

why is jesus # 1. He shouldn't mohammad should be. Jesus should be # 3. The thing is without mohammad we would be hundred of years or thousands of years behind because he was the only one able to unite the world at that time. Jesus couldn't no other person could. Yes maybe someone can bring their country but not asia africa and europe together. We the muslims were able to do what no other religion was able to do, bring the people together. Everyone will disagree with me i know that i said this and they will say that jesus is better, but truth be told he isn't, he's great but not better. we were able to make medical advancements that if we didn't have we would be so far behind. We were the first to use hospitals, we made the basis for the plane, the plane would have been invented way before the wright brother but the muslim scholar died. We made algebra, and the basis for the phone and camera. Yes we didn't invent it but without us we would be so far behind. i know most people would disagree, people from America, because of 9/11 only because you think mohammad wants hate. but he has never made a sin in his life or ask someonw to make a sin unless its in self defense. this is an american list thats why its so racist, and so are you bc you cant admit it.

HamadK80
HamadK80

@ONE_GOD_ONE_PROPHET @john2190 Actually, the Jews were the ones who united all people and brought about Christianity and Islam. Mohammad peace be upon him should not be at the top even though he is the last prophet. This is because there are more Christians in the world. But really, the prophet of the Jews, Moses, should be higher up because the Jewish people created the only democracy in the middle east, and have affected the world more than any other religion. We Muslims would be nowhere without the Jews

john2190
john2190

Although I would place Isaac Newton much higher than 21.  The guy is possibly the greatest scientist in history along with Einstein and Darwin.  His discoveries and achievements in mathematics and physics are unique.